Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.002880 0.003093 0.003324 0.003595 0.003907 0.004257 0.004686
2024-10-13 0.002544 0.002825 0.003149 0.003556 0.004063 0.004690 0.005547
2024-10-20 0.002257 0.002560 0.002924 0.003404 0.004039 0.004882 0.006150
2024-10-27 0.002102 0.002430 0.002836 0.003395 0.004179 0.005297 0.007162
2024-11-03 0.001891 0.002206 0.002604 0.003164 0.003972 0.005174 0.007305
2024-11-10 0.001819 0.002151 0.002581 0.003207 0.004155 0.005662 0.008633
2024-11-17 0.001768 0.002117 0.002580 0.003279 0.004385 0.006274 0.010483
2024-11-24 0.001692 0.002043 0.002517 0.003249 0.004449 0.006608 0.011930
2024-12-01 0.001659 0.002024 0.002530 0.003332 0.004708 0.007375 0.015042
2024-12-08 0.001601 0.001968 0.002482 0.003316 0.004791 0.007808 0.017646
2024-12-15 0.001537 0.001899 0.002411 0.003252 0.004777 0.008026 0.019776
2024-12-22 0.001516 0.001889 0.002426 0.003333 0.005046 0.008994 0.026846
2024-12-29 0.001491 0.001875 0.002439 0.003418 0.005358 0.010276 0.041346
2025-01-05 0.001440 0.001821 0.002386 0.003385 0.005427 0.010934 0.057013
2025-01-12 0.001370 0.001735 0.002280 0.003247 0.005244 0.010752 0.062381
2025-01-19 0.001333 0.001697 0.002247 0.003240 0.005354 0.011598 0.102515
2025-01-26 0.001255 0.001596 0.002107 0.003026 0.004962 0.010550 0.079400
2025-02-02 0.001235 0.001580 0.002105 0.003067 0.005169 0.011777 0.185229
2025-02-09 0.001222 0.001573 0.002116 0.003133 0.005451 0.013545 13.808819
2025-02-16 0.001191 0.001539 0.002080 0.003106 0.005495 0.014344 NaN
2025-02-23 0.001181 0.001536 0.002096 0.003182 0.005827 0.016948 NaN
2025-03-02 0.001156 0.001509 0.002068 0.003167 0.005909 0.018307 NaN
2025-03-09 0.001125 0.001470 0.002021 0.003108 0.005855 0.018781 NaN